New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 52.1%
NJD: 47.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.09
NJD: 3.32
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | DET | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.914 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • DET at home vs NJD: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | NJD 4 - 3 DET | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-04-16 | NJD 2 - 5 DET | DET | NJD |
| 2024-11-29 | DET 4 - 5 NJD | NJD | DET |
| 2024-10-24 | DET 5 - 3 NJD | DET | DET |
| 2023-12-23 | NJD 3 - 2 DET | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:41 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 09:22 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 16:05 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 18:00 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 01:26 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 11:10 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 16:49 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 03:05 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 03:27 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3