Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

NSH: 45.4%

TBL: 54.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.01

TBL: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NSH at home vs TBL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2025-10-28	NSH 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-11-29	NSH 2 - 3 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-28	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2023-12-07	NSH 5 - 1 TBL	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	0	0.65
1	TBL	14	0	0.40
2	NSH	16	0	0.67
2	TBL	12	2	1.07
3	NSH	15	0	0.80
3	TBL	17	1	0.89
4	NSH	0	0	0.00
4	TBL	2	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3