Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

NSH: 42.1%

TBL: 57.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.15

TBL: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

TBL

Jonas Johansson - 9-6-1 | 0.894 SV% | 2.83 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	28	25	3	89.3%	2.54	3	-0.46
TBL	Jonas Johansson	31	29	2	93.5%	2.12	0	0.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • NSH at home vs TBL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2025-10-28	NSH 2 - 5 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-11-29	NSH 2 - 3 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-28	TBL 3 - 2 NSH	TBL	TBL
2023-12-07	NSH 5 - 1 TBL	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	14	0	0.65
1	TBL	14	0	0.40
2	NSH	16	0	0.67
2	TBL	12	2	1.07
3	NSH	15	0	0.80
3	TBL	17	1	0.89
4	NSH	0	0	0.00
4	TBL	2	0	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3