Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 58.8%
WPG: 41.2%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.02
WPG: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | VGK | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.871 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 29% • VGK at home vs WPG: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | WPG 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | WPG |
| 2025-04-03 | VGK 0 - 4 WPG | WPG | VGK |
| 2024-12-12 | WPG 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | WPG |
| 2024-11-29 | VGK 4 - 3 WPG | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-03-28 | WPG 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:44 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 18:13 | VGK | Goal |
| 1 | 06:57 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 14:28 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 15:55 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 08:55 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 04:43 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8