Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 44.5%

WPG: 55.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.88

WPG: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 37%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VGK at home vs WPG: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	WPG
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	VGK
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	06:57	WPG	Goal
1	18:13	VGK	Goal
1	19:44	VGK	Goal
2	14:28	VGK	Goal
3	04:43	VGK	Goal
3	08:55	VGK	Goal
3	15:55	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1