Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

VGK: 53.2%

WPG: 46.8%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.94

WPG: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Adin Hill	25	22	3	88.0%	2.16	0	-0.84
WPG	Eric Comrie	30	26	4	86.7%	2.89	2	-1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs WPG: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	WPG
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	VGK
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	20	1	1.31
1	WPG	9	0	0.55
2	VGK	10	0	0.66
2	WPG	16	0	0.81
3	VGK	11	1	0.92
3	WPG	20	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0