Edmonton Oilers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 52.1%
EDM: 47.9%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.70
EDM: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | UTA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.783 | — |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs EDM: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | EDM 6 - 3 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-18 | EDM 7 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-31 | EDM 4 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-29 | UTA 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:15 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 06:17 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 16:22 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 14:01 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:44 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 03:42 | UTA | Goal |
| 4 | 01:18 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.2