Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-30 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 6 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 40.2%

CAR: 59.8%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.00

CAR: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 40%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

CAR

Spencer Martin - 7-9-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.30 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	20	20	0	100.0%	2.28	2	2.28
CAR	Spencer Martin	35	29	6	82.9%	2.84	2	-3.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • FLA at home vs CAR: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-05-26	FLA 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	13	1	1.08
1	CAR	12	0	0.60
2	FLA	12	0	0.34
2	CAR	19	2	1.46
3	FLA	18	1	1.43
3	CAR	5	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 6 - 0 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1