Calgary Flames at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-11-30 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 46.1%
CGY: 53.9%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.09
CGY: 3.25
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | PIT | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs CGY: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | CGY 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-01-10 | PIT 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | PIT |
| 2024-11-30 | PIT 6 - 2 CGY | PIT | CGY |
| 2024-10-22 | CGY 4 - 3 PIT | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-03-02 | CGY 4 - 3 PIT | CGY | CGY |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2
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