Calgary Flames at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-11-30 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 46.1%

CGY: 53.9%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.09

CGY: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

PIT

Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	CGY 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT
2026-01-10	PIT 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	PIT
2024-11-30	PIT 6 - 2 CGY	PIT	CGY
2024-10-22	CGY 4 - 3 PIT	CGY	CGY
2024-03-02	CGY 4 - 3 PIT	CGY	CGY

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	17:14	PIT	Goal
2	02:40	PIT	Goal
2	09:02	PIT	Goal
3	05:25	PIT	Goal
3	07:59	PIT	Goal
3	14:27	PIT	Goal
3	15:05	PIT	Goal
3	18:23	PIT	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2