Calgary Flames at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-11-30 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

PIT: 58.3%

CGY: 41.7%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.16

CGY: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs CGY: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	CGY 1 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT
2026-01-10	PIT 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	PIT
2024-11-30	PIT 6 - 2 CGY	PIT	PIT
2024-10-22	CGY 4 - 3 PIT	CGY	CGY
2024-03-02	CGY 4 - 3 PIT	CGY	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	16	0	0.66
1	CGY	16	2	1.36
2	PIT	27	0	1.56
2	CGY	16	0	0.69
3	PIT	16	1	1.35
3	CGY	15	0	0.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0