Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-11-30 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

LAK: 54.1%

OTT: 45.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 4.01

OTT: 2.55

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	David Rittich	22	20	2	90.9%	1.92	0	-0.08
OTT	Anton Forsberg	27	22	5	81.5%	3.30	3	-1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs OTT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-24	LAK 2 - 1 OTT	LAK	LAK
2025-11-15	OTT 0 - 1 LAK	LAK	OTT
2024-11-30	LAK 5 - 2 OTT	LAK	LAK
2024-10-14	OTT 8 - 7 LAK	OTT	OTT
2024-03-07	LAK 4 - 3 OTT	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	10	0	0.64
1	OTT	10	0	0.57
2	LAK	14	1	0.88
2	OTT	15	0	0.74
3	LAK	17	2	1.78
3	OTT	11	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 4.0 - 2.5