Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-11-30 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 64.2%
NSH: 35.8%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.93
NSH: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA
| Stat | MIN | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | Filip Gustavsson | 27 | 25 | 2 | 92.6% | 2.66 | 1 | 0.66 |
| NSH | Juuse Saros | 28 | 25 | 3 | 89.3% | 2.10 | 1 | -0.90 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MIN at home vs NSH: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | NSH 2 - 1 MIN | NSH | MIN |
| 2026-02-04 | NSH 5 - 6 MIN | MIN | NSH |
| 2025-12-23 | MIN 2 - 3 NSH | NSH | MIN |
| 2025-11-04 | MIN 3 - 2 NSH | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-01-18 | NSH 6 - 2 MIN | NSH | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 20 | 0 | 0.86 |
| 1 | NSH | 17 | 1 | 0.95 |
| 2 | MIN | 12 | 1 | 0.67 |
| 2 | NSH | 16 | 0 | 0.97 |
| 3 | MIN | 11 | 0 | 0.39 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.63 |
| 4 | MIN | 2 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 4 | NSH | 1 | 0 | 0.10 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7
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