Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-11-30 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 61.1%

EDM: 38.9%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.00

EDM: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • COL at home vs EDM: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	EDM 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-10	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL
2025-11-08	EDM 1 - 9 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-07	EDM 4 - 5 COL	COL	EDM
2025-01-16	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	18	2	1.52
1	EDM	13	0	0.70
2	COL	9	0	0.59
2	EDM	15	3	1.66
3	COL	12	0	0.48
3	EDM	16	2	1.96

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8