Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-11-30 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 57.6%
EDM: 42.4%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.26
EDM: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
| Stat | COL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.841 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | — |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 29% • COL at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-08 | EDM 1 - 9 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-02-07 | EDM 4 - 5 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-01-16 | COL 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2024-11-30 | COL 1 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2024-04-18 | COL 5 - 1 EDM | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:48 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:02 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:48 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:28 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 03:56 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9