Utah Hockey Club at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-11-30 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 0 - 6 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

VGK: 48.8%

UTA: 51.2%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.62

UTA: 3.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

VGK

Ilya Samsonov - 16-9-4 | 0.891 SV% | 2.82 GAA

UTA

J. Stauber

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Ilya Samsonov	28	22	6	78.6%	2.90	3	-3.10
UTA	J. Stauber	29	29	0	100.0%	2.73	1	2.73

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs UTA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	18	0	1.12
1	UTA	19	2	1.32
2	VGK	14	1	0.81
2	UTA	15	1	1.16
3	VGK	11	0	0.79
3	UTA	9	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 0 - 6 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.6 - 4.0