San Jose Sharks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-11-30 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 61.3%

SJS: 38.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.47

SJS: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

SJS

Mackenzie Blackwood - 10-25-4 | 0.899 SV% | 3.45 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	23	19	4	82.6%	3.20	3	-0.80
SJS	Mackenzie Blackwood	38	36	2	94.7%	2.86	0	0.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SEA at home vs SJS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	0	0.87
1	SJS	18	0	1.12
2	SEA	26	0	1.32
2	SJS	14	0	0.72
3	SEA	16	0	0.67
3	SJS	12	3	1.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7