Vancouver Canucks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-12-01 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 55.2%
VAN: 44.8%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.27
VAN: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | DET | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.984 | 0.816 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs VAN: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | DET 5 - 1 VAN | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-08 | VAN 0 - 4 DET | DET | VAN |
| 2025-02-02 | VAN 2 - 3 DET | DET | VAN |
| 2024-12-01 | DET 4 - 5 VAN | VAN | DET |
| 2024-02-15 | VAN 4 - 1 DET | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:57 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 00:23 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 01:06 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 06:38 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 17:47 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 02:24 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 04:50 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 16:40 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 04:00 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0