Columbus Blue Jackets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-12-01 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

CHI: 38.1%

CBJ: 61.9%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.54

CBJ: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 37%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	36	30	6	83.3%	2.79	2	-3.21
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	31	28	3	90.3%	1.94	0	-1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CHI at home vs CBJ: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CBJ 4 - 0 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-30	CHI 2 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-22	CBJ 5 - 1 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-01	CHI 3 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-02	CHI 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	14	0	0.62
1	CBJ	12	0	0.47
2	CHI	11	0	0.69
2	CBJ	18	1	0.98
3	CHI	12	0	0.64
3	CBJ	16	1	1.33

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 6 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.5 - 3.3