Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-12-01 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 49.8%
OTT: 50.2%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.69
OTT: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 34%
Over 6.5: 23%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | ANA | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.959 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs OTT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | OTT 2 - 0 ANA | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-20 | ANA 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-11 | OTT 5 - 1 ANA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-01 | ANA 4 - 3 OTT | ANA | OTT |
| 2024-03-06 | ANA 2 - 1 OTT | ANA | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:45 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 17:36 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:54 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:37 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:37 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:46 | ANA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | ANA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.7 - 2.9
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.