New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-12-02 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 54.8%
NJD: 45.2%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.05
NJD: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | NYR | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.899 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYR at home vs NJD: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-05 | NJD 4 - 0 NYR | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-01-09 | NYR 3 - 2 NJD | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-12-23 | NJD 5 - 0 NYR | NJD | NJD |
| 2024-12-02 | NYR 1 - 5 NJD | NJD | NYR |
| 2024-04-03 | NYR 4 - 3 NJD | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:27 | NJD | Goal |
| 1 | 07:10 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 09:04 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 12:38 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 13:29 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 18:56 | NJD | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1