Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-12-03 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

BOS: 62.2%

DET: 37.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.30

DET: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 38%

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	25	23	2	92.0%	2.32	0	0.32
DET	Ville Husso	35	32	3	91.4%	1.59	0	-1.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs DET: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	BOS	16	0.51
1	DET	9	0.58
2	BOS	9	0.35
2	DET	15	0.86
3	BOS	17	0.59
3	DET	12	0.70
4	BOS	2	0.15
4	DET	1	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8