Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-12-03 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

BOS: 59.5%

DET: 40.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.36

DET: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • BOS at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	BOS	16	0.51
1	DET	9	0.58
2	BOS	9	0.35
2	DET	15	0.86
3	BOS	17	0.59
3	DET	12	0.70
4	BOS	2	0.15
4	DET	1	0.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1