BUF vs COL - 2024-12-03
2024-12-03 • KeyBank Center
BUF 4 - 5 COL
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 68.8%
COL: 31.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.17
COL: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 19-3-4 | 0.917 SV% | 2.19 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:22 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 06:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 06:50 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:49 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 02:24 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:19 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 04:30 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 07:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:38 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
BUF 4 - 5 COL
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9