New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-12-03 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 1 New York Islanders
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 59.0%
NYI: 41.0%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.56
NYI: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | MTL | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • MTL at home vs NYI: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | MTL | ||
| 2025-03-20 | NYI 4 - 3 MTL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-03 | MTL 2 - 1 NYI | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-10-19 | NYI 4 - 3 MTL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-11 | NYI 3 - 2 MTL | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:55 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:23 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 02:39 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 1 New York Islanders
Expected: 2.6 - 2.9