Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-12-03 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Florida Panthers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 60.0%
FLA: 40.0%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.54
FLA: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | PIT | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.921 | 0.706 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • PIT at home vs FLA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-23 | FLA 3 - 5 PIT | PIT | FLA |
| 2025-03-23 | FLA 4 - 3 PIT | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-03 | FLA 3 - 2 PIT | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-12-03 | PIT 5 - 4 FLA | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-02-14 | PIT 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 10:32 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:24 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 06:54 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:45 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 06:55 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 08:58 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 11:27 | PIT | Goal |
| 4 | 01:31 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9