San Jose Sharks at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2024-12-03 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 60.6%
SJS: 39.4%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.53
SJS: 2.61
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | WSH | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.667 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WSH at home vs SJS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | WSH 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | WSH |
| 2025-12-03 | SJS 1 - 7 WSH | WSH | SJS |
| 2025-03-15 | SJS 1 - 5 WSH | WSH | SJS |
| 2024-12-03 | WSH 1 - 2 SJS | SJS | WSH |
| 2023-11-27 | SJS 2 - 1 WSH | SJS | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:00 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 13:02 | WSH | Goal |
| 4 | 00:39 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 1 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6