Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-12-03 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 45.7%

VAN: 54.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.12

VAN: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 37%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	32	30	2	93.8%	2.99	1	0.99
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	29	26	3	89.7%	2.12	0	-0.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • MIN at home vs VAN: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	17	0	0.90
1	VAN	10	0	0.52
2	MIN	11	0	0.46
2	VAN	10	0	0.73
3	MIN	14	0	0.46
3	VAN	17	0	0.88
4	MIN	4	0	0.28
4	VAN	5	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4