St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-12-03 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 51.4%
STL: 48.6%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.02
STL: 2.92
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 43%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | WPG | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.949 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs STL: 9-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | STL 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | STL |
| 2026-03-15 | WPG 3 - 2 STL | WPG | WPG |
| 2026-01-20 | WPG 3 - 1 STL | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-12-17 | STL 1 - 0 WPG | STL | WPG |
| 2025-05-04 | WPG 4 - 3 STL | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:04 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:43 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:38 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:45 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:21 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
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