Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-12-03 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 49.1%

EDM: 50.9%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.92

EDM: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.1

Over 5.5: 43%

Over 6.5: 30%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 31% • VGK at home vs EDM: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	EDM
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	VGK
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	10:47	VGK	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0