Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-12-03 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 44.0%

EDM: 56.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.95

EDM: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • VGK at home vs EDM: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	EDM
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	9	0	0.46
1	EDM	8	0	0.15
2	VGK	15	0	0.51
2	EDM	18	0	1.03
3	VGK	4	0	0.30
3	EDM	18	1	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3