Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-12-04 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 45.6%
VGK: 54.4%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.81
VGK: 3.54
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | ANA | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.840 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.871 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • ANA at home vs VGK: 4-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-11-22 | ANA 4 - 3 VGK | ANA | VGK |
| 2025-11-08 | VGK 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | VGK |
| 2024-12-23 | VGK 3 - 1 ANA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-12-04 | ANA 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:26 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:38 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 18:01 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 03:05 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:16 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 2.8 - 3.5
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