Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-12-04 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

ANA: 49.0%

VGK: 51.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.99

VGK: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • ANA at home vs VGK: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	10	0	0.36
1	VGK	13	1	1.17
2	ANA	14	0	0.90
2	VGK	15	1	1.33
3	ANA	12	0	0.66
3	VGK	16	4	2.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2