Dallas Stars at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2024-12-04 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

LAK: 61.8%

DAL: 38.2%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.23

DAL: 2.71

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	David Rittich	28	26	2	92.9%	3.00	3	1.00
DAL	Jake Oettinger	17	14	3	82.4%	1.77	1	-1.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • LAK at home vs DAL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	LAK 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	LAK
2025-12-15	DAL 4 - 1 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-10-23	DAL 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-02-28	DAL 6 - 2 LAK	DAL	DAL
2025-02-07	LAK 5 - 4 DAL	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	8	0	0.24
1	DAL	16	1	0.88
2	LAK	13	1	1.07
2	DAL	12	0	0.74
3	LAK	7	0	0.47
3	DAL	19	2	1.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7