Nashville Predators at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-12-05 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

MTL: 53.1%

NSH: 46.9%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.87

NSH: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 38%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

NSH

Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	29	29	0	100.0%	3.54	1	3.54
NSH	Justus Annunen	30	27	3	90.0%	4.44	5	1.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NSH 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH
2025-10-16	MTL 3 - 2 NSH	MTL	MTL
2025-04-06	NSH 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	NSH
2024-12-05	MTL 3 - 0 NSH	MTL	MTL
2024-03-05	NSH 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	18	2	1.76
1	NSH	14	0	0.78
2	MTL	16	0	1.25
2	NSH	17	1	1.78
3	MTL	6	3	1.43
3	NSH	15	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.9 - 2.8