Detroit Red Wings at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-12-05 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

OTT: 67.2%

DET: 32.8%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.50

DET: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs DET: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DET 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	DET
2026-02-26	OTT 1 - 2 DET	DET	OTT
2026-01-18	DET 4 - 3 OTT	DET	DET
2026-01-05	OTT 3 - 5 DET	DET	OTT
2025-03-27	DET 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	20	0	1.15
1	DET	10	0	0.53
2	OTT	16	0	0.35
2	DET	12	1	0.77
3	OTT	9	0	0.34
3	DET	15	1	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9