Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-12-05 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 7 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 61.8%
FLA: 38.2%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.79
FLA: 3.10
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 67%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | PHI | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.868 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • PHI at home vs FLA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | FLA 2 - 4 PHI | PHI | FLA |
| 2025-10-13 | PHI 5 - 2 FLA | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-10-09 | FLA 2 - 1 PHI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-01-13 | PHI 4 - 3 FLA | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-05 | PHI 5 - 7 FLA | FLA | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:36 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 06:57 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 03:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:13 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:31 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:35 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 17:41 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:04 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 05:39 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:43 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:01 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:49 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 6.9
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 7 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.8 - 3.1