Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-12-05 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 58.3%

SEA: 41.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.09

SEA: 2.69

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 37%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	SEA 4 - 1 NYI	SEA	NYI
2025-11-23	NYI 1 - 0 SEA	NYI	NYI
2024-12-05	NYI 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	NYI
2024-11-16	SEA 3 - 2 NYI	SEA	NYI
2024-02-13	NYI 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	1	0.61
1	SEA	14	0	0.73
2	NYI	8	0	0.38
2	SEA	16	1	0.89
3	NYI	20	1	1.37
3	SEA	15	2	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7