Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-12-05 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 54.5%
SEA: 45.5%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.91
SEA: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 4.6
Over 5.5: 37%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
| Stat | NYI | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.854 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs SEA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | SEA 4 - 1 NYI | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-23 | NYI 1 - 0 SEA | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-12-05 | NYI 2 - 5 SEA | SEA | NYI |
| 2024-11-16 | SEA 3 - 2 NYI | SEA | NYI |
| 2024-02-13 | NYI 1 - 2 SEA | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:48 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 16:58 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 03:55 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:05 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:57 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:37 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:20 | SEA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7
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