St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-12-05 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 54.7%

STL: 45.3%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.28

STL: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 38%

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CGY at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	CGY
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	CGY
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	STL
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	12:49	STL	Goal
1	14:49	STL	Goal
1	15:04	STL	Goal
2	05:23	CGY	Goal
3	06:00	STL	Goal
3	07:06	CGY	Goal
4	02:25	STL	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6