Columbus Blue Jackets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-05 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

EDM: 69.4%

CBJ: 30.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.74

CBJ: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Calvin Pickard	22	19	3	86.4%	1.52	0	-1.48
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	36	30	6	83.3%	3.78	2	-2.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • EDM at home vs CBJ: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	CBJ 5 - 4 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-10	EDM 5 - 4 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-12-05	EDM 6 - 3 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-10-28	CBJ 6 - 1 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-07	CBJ 4 - 2 EDM	CBJ	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	1	0.93
1	CBJ	12	0	0.59
2	EDM	20	1	2.15
2	CBJ	12	0	0.61
3	EDM	11	0	0.70
3	CBJ	7	0	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 3 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.7 - 2.4