Seattle Kraken at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-12-06 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

NJD: 66.7%

SEA: 33.3%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.19

SEA: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	19	17	2	89.5%	1.94	2	-0.06
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	36	33	3	91.7%	3.85	2	0.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NJD at home vs SEA: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	SEA 4 - 2 NJD	SEA	SEA
2026-01-14	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-06	SEA 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-12-06	NJD 3 - 2 SEA	NJD	NJD
2024-02-12	NJD 3 - 1 SEA	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	21	1	1.66
1	SEA	7	1	0.46
2	NJD	20	0	1.25
2	SEA	14	1	0.66
3	NJD	11	1	0.93
3	SEA	16	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8