Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-12-06 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

NYR: 53.6%

PIT: 46.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.41

PIT: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • NYR at home vs PIT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	NYR 3 - 2 PIT	NYR	PIT
2026-01-31	PIT 6 - 5 NYR	PIT	PIT
2025-10-11	PIT 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-10-07	NYR 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-02-23	PIT 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	16	1	1.07
1	PIT	12	0	0.93
2	NYR	16	0	0.97
2	PIT	14	0	1.20
3	NYR	12	0	0.62
3	PIT	12	1	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1