Pittsburgh Penguins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-12-06 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 62.2%
PIT: 37.8%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.77
PIT: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 8.2
Over 5.5: 81%
Over 6.5: 71%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | NYR | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.951 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYR at home vs PIT: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | NYR 3 - 2 PIT | NYR | PIT |
| 2026-01-31 | PIT 6 - 5 NYR | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-11 | PIT 1 - 6 NYR | NYR | PIT |
| 2025-10-07 | NYR 0 - 3 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-02-23 | PIT 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:19 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 07:28 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 19:58 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 08:29 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 09:53 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:22 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 4 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.8 - 3.0
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