Dallas Stars at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2024-12-06 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 59.1%
DAL: 40.9%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.18
DAL: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | VGK | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.810 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • VGK at home vs DAL: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | VGK 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | VGK |
| 2025-01-28 | VGK 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | VGK |
| 2025-01-24 | DAL 4 - 3 VGK | DAL | DAL |
| 2024-12-06 | VGK 3 - 2 DAL | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-05-05 | DAL 2 - 1 VGK | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:23 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:39 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 15:40 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 16:48 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:26 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 3 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9