Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-12-06 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

ANA: 35.7%

MIN: 64.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.16

MIN: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	33	28	5	84.8%	3.58	3	-1.42
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	27	26	1	96.3%	2.50	0	1.50

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs MIN: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	ANA
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	0	0.52
1	MIN	16	0	0.68
2	ANA	14	0	0.97
2	MIN	18	1	1.70
3	ANA	17	0	1.02
3	MIN	13	2	1.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.2 - 3.4