Utah Hockey Club at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-12-07 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 47.2%
UTA: 52.8%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.97
UTA: 3.15
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | BUF | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.943 | 0.919 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • BUF at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-04 | BUF 1 - 2 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-03-20 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-07 | BUF 2 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:14 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:18 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:42 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:08 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:11 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:07 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:40 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.