Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-12-07 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 40.7%

CAR: 59.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.51

CAR: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	1	0.80
1	CAR	19	0	0.69
2	NYI	22	1	1.68
2	CAR	6	1	0.51
3	NYI	4	0	0.26
3	CAR	25	0	1.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.5 - 3.3