San Jose Sharks at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-12-07 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

FLA: 67.3%

SJS: 32.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.58

SJS: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

SJS

Mackenzie Blackwood - 10-25-4 | 0.899 SV% | 3.45 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	29	28	1	96.6%	2.98	1	1.98
SJS	Mackenzie Blackwood	54	51	3	94.4%	4.22	1	1.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	FLA 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	FLA
2025-11-08	SJS 3 - 1 FLA	SJS	FLA
2025-01-25	SJS 2 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-12-07	FLA 3 - 1 SJS	FLA	FLA
2023-11-14	SJS 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	18	0	0.88
1	SJS	8	0	0.59
2	FLA	32	1	1.92
2	SJS	14	1	1.08
3	FLA	24	0	1.42
3	SJS	19	0	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6