Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-12-07 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

DET: 35.2%

COL: 64.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 1.96

COL: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 39%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	COL 0 - 2 DET	DET	COL
2026-01-31	DET 0 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-25	COL 5 - 2 DET	COL	COL
2024-12-07	DET 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-06	COL 7 - 2 DET	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	0.84
1	COL	13	0	0.70
2	DET	15	2	1.12
2	COL	12	0	0.63
3	DET	12	0	0.92
3	COL	22	2	1.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.0 - 3.3