Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-12-07 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

DET: 42.5%

COL: 57.5%

Expected Goals

DET: 1.93

COL: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 38%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	25	23	2	92.0%	3.19	2	1.19
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	30	29	1	96.7%	2.88	2	1.88

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	COL 0 - 2 DET	DET	COL
2026-01-31	DET 0 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-03-25	COL 5 - 2 DET	COL	COL
2024-12-07	DET 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-06	COL 7 - 2 DET	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	0.84
1	COL	13	0	0.70
2	DET	15	2	1.12
2	COL	12	0	0.63
3	DET	12	0	0.92
3	COL	22	2	1.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 1.9 - 3.1