St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-12-07 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 64.5%
STL: 35.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.74
STL: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | EDM | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.893 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • EDM at home vs STL: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | EDM 5 - 0 STL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-03 | STL 3 - 2 EDM | STL | STL |
| 2025-04-09 | EDM 4 - 3 STL | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-02-04 | STL 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | STL |
| 2024-12-07 | EDM 4 - 2 STL | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:25 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 14:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 05:19 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 14:18 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 13:09 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:02 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.7 - 2.7