Seattle Kraken at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-12-08 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 7 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

NYR: 49.3%

SEA: 50.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.25

SEA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Jonathan Quick	22	15	7	68.2%	2.78	2	-4.22
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	37	32	5	86.5%	3.40	2	-1.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	NYR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	NYR
2025-11-01	SEA 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	SEA
2024-12-08	NYR 5 - 7 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-11-17	SEA 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-01-16	NYR 5 - 2 SEA	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	16	1	0.80
1	SEA	12	0	0.32
2	NYR	24	1	1.64
2	SEA	14	0	0.91
3	NYR	18	0	0.96
3	SEA	11	2	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 7 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1