Tampa Bay Lightning at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-08 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

VAN: 37.3%

TBL: 62.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 1.99

TBL: 4.83

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs TBL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	VAN 2 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-11-16	TBL 2 - 6 VAN	VAN	TBL
2024-12-08	VAN 2 - 4 TBL	TBL	TBL
2024-10-15	TBL 4 - 1 VAN	TBL	VAN
2023-12-12	VAN 4 - 1 TBL	VAN	TBL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	0	0.59
1	TBL	9	1	0.84
2	VAN	9	0	0.35
2	TBL	23	2	2.20
3	VAN	17	3	1.88
3	TBL	12	2	1.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 2.0 - 4.8