Columbus Blue Jackets at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-12-08 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

WPG: 45.7%

CBJ: 54.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.87

CBJ: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 41%

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	28	24	4	85.7%	4.58	6	0.58
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	25	24	1	96.0%	2.48	2	1.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WPG at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	CBJ 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CBJ
2025-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 CBJ	WPG	WPG
2024-12-08	WPG 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-01	CBJ 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-17	CBJ 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	11	1	0.99
1	CBJ	20	2	1.73
2	WPG	15	1	0.86
2	CBJ	11	1	0.86
3	WPG	18	0	0.64
3	CBJ	11	3	1.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0