Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-12-08 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 0 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 62.4%
COL: 37.6%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.30
COL: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | NJD | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.810 | 0.867 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NJD at home vs COL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | COL 8 - 4 NJD | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-26 | NJD 4 - 3 COL | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-02-26 | COL 5 - 1 NJD | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-08 | NJD 0 - 4 COL | COL | NJD |
| 2024-02-06 | NJD 5 - 3 COL | NJD | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:07 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 14:52 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 14:36 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:05 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 0 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8