Utah Hockey Club at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-12-08 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 57.0%
UTA: 43.0%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.06
UTA: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | PHI | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.862 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs UTA: 0-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | UTA 5 - 4 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-02-04 | UTA 3 - 2 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-08 | PHI 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 07:01 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:20 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:42 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:34 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:30 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:43 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1