Utah Hockey Club at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-12-08 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 51.9%

UTA: 48.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.93

UTA: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • PHI at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	PHI 0 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-01-21	UTA 5 - 4 PHI	UTA	UTA
2025-02-04	UTA 3 - 2 PHI	UTA	UTA
2024-12-08	PHI 2 - 4 UTA	UTA	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	12	1	1.25
1	UTA	20	0	1.25
2	PHI	13	2	1.22
2	UTA	15	0	0.93
3	PHI	18	0	0.72
3	UTA	8	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2