BUF vs DET - 2024-12-09
2024-12-09 • KeyBank Center
BUF 5 - 6 DET
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 68.8%
DET: 31.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 4.30
DET: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 54%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 17-9-1 | 0.903 SV% | 2.75 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:38 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 04:05 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 04:46 | DET | Goal |
| 1 | 10:25 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 15:26 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 01:05 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 02:26 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 09:46 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 10:27 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:42 | BUF | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BUF | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BUF | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
BUF 5 - 6 DET
Expected: 4.3 - 2.9