Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-12-09 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 55.0%
CHI: 45.0%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.18
CHI: 2.57
Total Goals
Median: 4.5
Over 5.5: 32%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
| Stat | NYR | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.851 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | NYR 6 - 1 CHI | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-12-10 | CHI 3 - 0 NYR | CHI | NYR |
| 2025-01-05 | CHI 2 - 6 NYR | NYR | CHI |
| 2024-12-09 | NYR 1 - 2 CHI | CHI | NYR |
| 2024-02-09 | CHI 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:10 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 19:17 | NYR | Goal |
| 2 | 06:16 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 1 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.2 - 2.6
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