Anaheim Ducks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-12-09 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

MTL: 56.9%

ANA: 43.1%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.24

ANA: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	MTL 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	MTL
2026-03-06	ANA 6 - 5 MTL	ANA	ANA
2025-02-02	ANA 3 - 2 MTL	ANA	MTL
2024-12-09	MTL 3 - 2 ANA	MTL	MTL
2024-02-13	MTL 5 - 0 ANA	MTL	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	8	1	0.71
1	ANA	15	0	1.04
2	MTL	14	1	1.20
2	ANA	19	1	1.95
3	MTL	12	0	0.54
3	ANA	9	1	0.92
4	MTL	1	0	0.06
4	ANA	5	0	0.36
5	MTL	2	2	1.72
5	ANA	2	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2