San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 64.7%
SJS: 35.3%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.78
SJS: 2.16
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | CAR | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.941 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | CAR 1 - 4 SJS | SJS | CAR |
| 2025-10-14 | SJS 1 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-20 | SJS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | SJS |
| 2024-12-10 | CAR 3 - 2 SJS | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-10-27 | CAR 3 - 0 SJS | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:51 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 04:26 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 11:44 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:21 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:11 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.8 - 2.2