Philadelphia Flyers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 50.7%
PHI: 49.3%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.39
PHI: 2.89
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 46%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CBJ at home vs PHI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | PHI 2 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2026-03-14 | PHI 1 - 2 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2026-01-28 | CBJ 5 - 3 PHI | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-04-15 | PHI 0 - 3 CBJ | CBJ | PHI |
| 2025-01-14 | CBJ 3 - 2 PHI | CBJ | CBJ |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 7 | 0 | 0.30 |
| 1 | PHI | 12 | 1 | 0.70 |
| 2 | CBJ | 11 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 2 | PHI | 20 | 0 | 1.49 |
| 3 | CBJ | 11 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 3 | PHI | 9 | 0 | 0.44 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9
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